With The Dow At An All-Time High, Citi Unveils HUGE, Ultra-Bullish Bet On America

With The Dow At An All-Time High, Citi Unveils HUGE, Ultra-Bullish Bet On  America

 
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The Dow has made brand new  highs for 9 straight trading days.

And rather than make people nervous, it seems to be sucking in even more  bulls, creating even more optimism.

In a new note out this evening, Citi  macro strategist Jeremy Hale unveils a series of new trades, several of which  can be characterized as: GO AMERICA.

Here are some of the big ones, with our summary of his rationale in  bullets:

Sell US Treasuries

  • This is simple. Because Citi has an optimistic take on the US economy,  interest rates are likely to rise, slamming Treasuries.
  • It’s not impossible that we could see another 1994-style bond selloff/yield  spike.

Long the dollar vs. G10 currencies

  • US economic outperformance is now associated with a strong dollar. The  dollar will do well against a basket of currencies, which includes the Swiss  Franc, the British Pound, the Japanese Yen, and the Norwegian Kroner.
  • Fed may turn less accommodative this year, which will help further.

Go long US equities vs. corporate credit

  • Companies are starting to lever up and take actions that are pro shareholder  (dividends, buybacks, etc.)
  • Equity markets are still just generally cheap.

There’s no doubt that the bulls are on parade.

This comes after Morgan  Stanley’s big call about an “inflection point” for the US economy.

Heck, even  Richard Russell is a bull.

There’s a feeling that (and this is especially so after today’s retail sales  report) that the US economy is bulletproof, the Fed isn’t going to screw it up,  and things won’t be too bad in Washington, beyond what everyone expected. Risk  on.

Posted on March 14, 2013, in Trading. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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